8 Nov 2026 · Allianz Field
San Jose Earthquakes at Minnesota United FC
San Jose 1 – 3 Minnesota · Minnesota United FC won. We had Minnesota United FC at 52.1%, a draw at 23.3% and San Jose Earthquakes at 24.6%.
Ratings before the game: Minnesota 1508, San Jose 1503, plus 100 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 9°C, wind 8 km/h (gusts 18).
The betting market (closing odds) had Minnesota at 57.1%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Minnesota | Draw | San Jose |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 52.1% | 23.3% | 24.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 57.8% | 21.5% | 20.7% |
| Polymarket | 58.8% | 20.6% | 20.6% |
| Kalshi | 58.7% | 20.4% | 20.9% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: San Jose Earthquakes DDLDW, Minnesota United FC DWDWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | Minnesota United FC at San Jose Earthquakes | 5–1 | 25% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won San Jose Earthquakes at Minnesota United FC?
Minnesota United FC won 3–1 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Minnesota United FC 52%.