Ducati Lenovo Team
Marc Marquez
Rated 2030, 81 wins in 243 starts, 31% to win the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint, >99% to win the World Championship.
- 2030
- Rating: rider +539, car or team -10. 81 wins in 243 starts.
- 31%
- To win the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint; podium 73%.
- >99%
- Title chance. 431 points now, projected 468.
Results
Every Grand Prix in the model's window, newest first (the latest 60).
Questions and answers
What are Marc Marquez's chances in the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint?
31% to win and 73% to finish in the top three, from 20,000 simulations with PodiumOracle's ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
What is Marc Marquez's chance of winning the 2026 World Championship?
Over 99%, with 431 points so far, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.