PodiumOracle MotoGP

Castrol Honda LCR

Johann Zarco

Rated 1472, 2 wins in 254 starts, 1% to win the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint, 0% to win the World Championship.

1472
Rating: rider -19, car or team -9. 2 wins in 254 starts.
1%
To win the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint; podium 2%.
0%
Title chance. 63 points now, projected 81.

Results

Every Grand Prix in the model's window, newest first (the latest 60).

Grand PrixSeasonFinishNote
Grand Prix of Qatar20269
Grand Prix of Qatar sprint20265
Grand Prix of Malaysia2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of Malaysia sprint202610
Grand Prix of Australia sprint2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of Indonesia202613
Grand Prix of Indonesia sprint202612
Grand Prix of Japan202620
Grand Prix of Japan sprint20267
Grand Prix of Austria202610
Grand Prix of Austria sprint20267
Grand Prix of San Marino2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of San Marino sprint202610
Grand Prix of Aragon202615
Grand Prix of Aragon sprint20269
Grand Prix of Catalonia2026–DNS (restart)
Grand Prix of Catalonia sprint20265
Grand Prix de France202611
Grand Prix de France sprint202610
Grand Prix of Spain20267
Grand Prix of Spain sprint20268
Grand Prix of the United States2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of the United States sprint20269
Grand Prix of Brazil20269
Grand Prix of Brazil sprint2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of Thailand202611
Grand Prix of Thailand sprint202612
Grand Prix of the Valencian Community202512
Grand Prix of the Valencian Community sprint202510
Grand Prix of Portugal20259
Grand Prix of Portugal sprint20257
Grand Prix of Malaysia202512
Grand Prix of Malaysia sprint20258
Australian Grand Prix2025–Not classified
Australian Grand Prix sprint202512
Grand Prix of Indonesia202512
Grand Prix of Indonesia sprint2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of Japan20259
Grand Prix of Japan sprint2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of San Marino and the Rimini Riviera202516
Grand Prix of San Marino and the Rimini Riviera sprint202511
Grand Prix of Catalonia2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of Catalonia sprint20257
Grand Prix of Hungary2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of Hungary sprint2025–DNF
Grand Prix of Austria202512
Grand Prix of Austria sprint20259
Grand Prix of Czechia202513
Grand Prix of Czechia sprint20258
Grand Prix of Germany2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of Germany sprint20257
Grand Prix of the Netherlands202512
Grand Prix of the Netherlands sprint202511
Grand Prix of Italy2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of Italy sprint2025–DNF
Grand Prix of Aragon2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of Aragon sprint202516
Grand Prix of the United Kingdom20252
Grand Prix of the United Kingdom sprint20255
Grand Prix de France20251

Questions and answers

What are Johann Zarco's chances in the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint?

1% to win and 2% to finish in the top three, from 20,000 simulations with PodiumOracle's ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

What is Johann Zarco's chance of winning the 2026 World Championship?

0%, with 63 points so far, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.