Aprilia Racing

Jorge Martin

Rated 1944, 29 wins in 165 starts, 16% to win the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint, <1% to win the World Championship.

1944
Rating: rider +347, car or team +97. 29 wins in 165 starts.
16%
To win the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint; podium 50%.
<1%
Title chance. 371 points now, projected 404.

Results

Every Grand Prix in the model's window, newest first (the latest 60).

Grand PrixSeasonFinishNoteModel's pick
Grand Prix of Qatar20267
Grand Prix of Qatar sprint20263
Grand Prix of Australia sprint2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of Indonesia20263
Grand Prix of Indonesia sprint20264
Grand Prix of Japan20262
Grand Prix of Japan sprint20263
Grand Prix of Austria20262
Grand Prix of Austria sprint20261
Grand Prix of San Marino20265
Grand Prix of San Marino sprint20263
Grand Prix of Aragon20265
Grand Prix of Aragon sprint20265
Grand Prix of Great Britain20262
Grand Prix of Great Britain sprint20261
Grand Prix of Germany20265
Grand Prix of Germany sprint20266
Grand Prix of the Netherlands20263
Grand Prix of the Netherlands sprint20265
Grand Prix of Czechia20269
Grand Prix of Czechia sprint20265
Grand Prix of Hungary2026–DNF
Grand Prix of Hungary sprint20266
Grand Prix of Italy20262
Grand Prix of Italy sprint20262
Grand Prix of Catalonia2026–Not classifiedFavourite
Grand Prix of Catalonia sprint2026–Not classifiedFavourite
Grand Prix de France20261
Grand Prix de France sprint20261
Grand Prix of Spain20264
Grand Prix of Spain sprint2026–Not classified
Grand Prix of the United States20262
Grand Prix of the United States sprint20261
Grand Prix of Brazil20262
Grand Prix of Brazil sprint20263
Grand Prix of Thailand20264
Grand Prix of Thailand sprint20265
Grand Prix of the Valencian Community2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of the Valencian Community sprint202522
Grand Prix of Japan sprint2025–DNF
Grand Prix of San Marino and the Rimini Riviera202513
Grand Prix of San Marino and the Rimini Riviera sprint20258
Grand Prix of Catalonia202510
Grand Prix of Catalonia sprint2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of Hungary20254
Grand Prix of Hungary sprint20259
Grand Prix of Austria2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of Austria sprint202510
Grand Prix of Czechia20257
Grand Prix of Czechia sprint202511
Grand Prix of Qatar2025–Not classified
Grand Prix of Qatar sprint202516
Solidarity Grand Prix of Barcelona20243Favourite
Solidarity Grand Prix of Barcelona sprint20243Favourite
Malaysian Motorcycle Grand Prix20242Favourite
Malaysian Motorcycle Grand Prix sprint20241Favourite
Thailand Grand Prix20242Favourite
Thailand Grand Prix sprint20242Favourite
Australian Grand Prix20242Favourite
Australian Grand Prix sprint20241Favourite

Questions and answers

What are Jorge Martin's chances in the Grand Prix of Portugal sprint?

16% to win and 50% to finish in the top three, from 20,000 simulations with PodiumOracle's ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

What is Jorge Martin's chance of winning the 2026 World Championship?

Under 1%, with 371 points so far, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.