15 Nov 2026 · Kaseya Center
Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat
We have Miami Heat at 46.2% and Detroit Pistons at 53.8%.
Ratings going in: Heat 1472, Pistons 1619, plus 55 for playing at home.
Who is playing: DET +0.9 game score against its usual (without Jalen Duren, Isaiah Joe); MIA +9.1 game score against its usual. Net 65 rating points to MIA.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Heat | Pistons |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| Polymarket | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| Kalshi | 36.0% | 64.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Detroit Pistons WWLLW, Miami Heat LWLWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat | 128–111 | 48% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2027 | Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons | 31% | 69% |
| 4 Apr 2027 | Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons | 31% | 69% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat?
PodiumOracle's model makes Detroit Pistons the favourite at 54%, with Miami Heat at 46%. The markets give Detroit Pistons 62% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 54% favourite still loses 46% of the time.
When and where is Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat?
15 November 2026, at Kaseya Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.