East
Miami Heat
Rated 1472 (No. 20 of 30), 5–6 this season, <1% to win the NBA championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 22%
- Top six
- 53%
- Make playoffs
- 10%
- Conf. semifinals
- 2%
- Conf. finals
- <1%
- Reach Finals
- <1%
- Win title
- 37.8
- Projected wins
Rating
Miami Heat is rated 1472, No. 20 of 30. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat | 46% | 54% |
| 15 Nov 2026 | Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat | 54% | 46% |
| 17 Nov 2026 | Houston Rockets at Miami Heat | 55% | 45% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2026 | Miami Heat at Utah Jazz | 115–109 | 75% |
| 9 Nov 2026 | Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings | 114–108 | 65% |
Questions and answers
What is Miami Heat's chance of winning the 2026–27 NBA championship?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Miami Heat is No. 20 of 30 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Miami Heat play next, and what are their chances?
Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat on 14 November 2026 at Kaseya Center. PodiumOracle's model gives Miami Heat 54%.