17 Nov 2026 · Kaseya Center
Houston Rockets at Miami Heat
We have Miami Heat at 45.2% and Houston Rockets at 54.8%.
Ratings going in: Heat 1472, Rockets 1583, plus 55 for playing at home.
Who is playing: HOU +6.4 game score against its usual (without Steven Adams, Clint Capela); MIA +9.1 game score against its usual. Net 22 rating points to MIA.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Heat | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| Polymarket | 45.0% | 55.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Houston Rockets WWLLW, Miami Heat LWLWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2027 | Miami Heat at Houston Rockets | 30% | 70% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Houston Rockets at Miami Heat?
PodiumOracle's model makes Houston Rockets the favourite at 55%, with Miami Heat at 45%. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 55% favourite still loses 45% of the time.
When and where is Houston Rockets at Miami Heat?
17 November 2026, at Kaseya Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.