7 Oct 2026
Melbourne United at Adelaide 36ers
United 96 – 91 36ers · Melbourne United won. We had Adelaide 36ers at 58.1% and Melbourne United at 41.9%.
Ratings before the game: 36ers 1495, United 1498, plus 60 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | 36ers | United |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 37.1% | 62.9% |
| Polymarket | 35.5% | 64.5% |
| Kalshi | 38.0% | 62.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Melbourne United LWLL, Adelaide 36ers WLWLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Adelaide 36ers at Melbourne United | 97–95 | 42% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | Melbourne United at Adelaide 36ers | 47% | 53% |
| 7 Jan 2027 | Adelaide 36ers at Melbourne United | 36% | 64% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Melbourne United at Adelaide 36ers?
Melbourne United won 96–91 on 7 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Melbourne United 42%.