11 Nov 2026
Illawarra Hawks at South East Melbourne Phoenix
Hawks 120 – 110 Phoenix · Illawarra Hawks won. We had South East Melbourne Phoenix at 64.8% and Illawarra Hawks at 35.1%.
Ratings before the game: Phoenix 1496, Hawks 1450, plus 60 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Phoenix | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 64.8% | 35.1% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 73.2% | 26.8% |
| Polymarket | 72.5% | 27.5% |
| Kalshi | 71.0% | 29.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Illawarra Hawks LLWWL, South East Melbourne Phoenix LWWLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | Illawarra Hawks at South East Melbourne Phoenix | 96–113 | 61% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2026 | South East Melbourne Phoenix at Illawarra Hawks | 44% | 56% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Illawarra Hawks at South East Melbourne Phoenix?
Illawarra Hawks won 120–110 on 11 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Illawarra Hawks 35%.