8 Oct 2026 · Benchmark International Arena
Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning
Wild 2 – 3 Lightning · Tampa Bay Lightning won. We had Tampa Bay Lightning at 55.2% and Minnesota Wild at 44.8%.
Ratings before the game: Lightning 1553, Wild 1537, plus 35 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Lightning | Wild |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 55.2% | 44.8% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Polymarket | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Kalshi | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Minnesota Wild WWL, Tampa Bay Lightning LWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild | 4–3 | 46% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning?
Tampa Bay Lightning won 3–2 on 8 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Tampa Bay Lightning 55%.