8 Nov 2026 · Grand Casino Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild
Lightning 4 – 3 Wild · Tampa Bay Lightning won. We had Minnesota Wild at 53.9% and Tampa Bay Lightning at 46.1%.
Ratings before the game: Wild 1558, Lightning 1560, plus 35 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Wild | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 53.9% | 46.1% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Polymarket | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Kalshi | 44.0% | 56.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Tampa Bay Lightning LWLWW, Minnesota Wild WLWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning | 2–3 | 55% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild?
Tampa Bay Lightning won 4–3 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Tampa Bay Lightning 46%.