4 Nov 2026 · Benchmark International Arena
Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning
Red Wings 2 – 4 Lightning · Tampa Bay Lightning won. We had Tampa Bay Lightning at 65.4% and Detroit Red Wings at 34.6%.
Ratings before the game: Lightning 1556, Red Wings 1483, plus 35 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Lightning | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 65.4% | 34.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 71.6% | 28.4% |
| Polymarket | 72.5% | 27.5% |
| Kalshi | 72.0% | 28.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Detroit Red Wings LWWLW, Tampa Bay Lightning WLLWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2026 | Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning | 34% | 66% |
| 20 Dec 2026 | Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings | 57% | 43% |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings | 57% | 43% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning?
Tampa Bay Lightning won 4–2 on 4 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Tampa Bay Lightning 65%.