Round 3 · 22 Mar 2026 · CommBank Stadium
Dragons at Eels
Dragons 20 – 30 Eels · Eels won. We had Eels at 63.9%, a draw at 3.1% and Dragons at 33.0%.
Ratings before the game: Eels 1493, Dragons 1427, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 24°C, wind 13 km/h (gusts 31).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Eels | Draw | Dragons |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 63.9% | 3.1% | 33.0% |
| Kalshi | 65.4% | 1.9% | 32.7% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Dragons LL, Eels LW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026 | Eels at Dragons | 22–24 | 36% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Dragons at Eels?
Eels won 30–20 on 22 March 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Eels 64%.