Round 27 · 6 Sep 2026 · WIN Stadium
Eels at Dragons
Eels 22 – 24 Dragons · Dragons won. We had Dragons at 35.8%, a draw at 3.2% and Eels at 60.9%.
Ratings before the game: Dragons 1311, Eels 1445, plus 45 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Dragons | Draw | Eels |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 35.8% | 3.2% | 60.9% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 36.8% | 4.2% | 59.0% |
| Polymarket | 37.5% | 0.0% | 62.5% |
| Kalshi | 42.5% | 5.0% | 52.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Eels WLWLW, Dragons LWWLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | Dragons at Eels | 20–30 | 64% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Eels at Dragons?
Dragons won 24–22 on 6 September 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Dragons 36%.