First Phase
Falkirk
Rated 1558 (No. 5 of 12), 6–4–3 this season, <1% to win the title.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- <1%
- Win title
- 1%
- Top two
- 89%
- Top six at the split
- <1%
- Relegation play-off
- <1%
- Relegated
- 49.6
- Projected points
Rating
Falkirk is rated 1558, No. 5 of 12. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2026 | St Johnstone at Falkirk | 17% | 24% | 60% |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Falkirk at Rangers | 11% | 19% | 70% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Falkirk at Heart of Midlothian | 5–2 | 14% |
Questions and answers
What is Falkirk's chance of winning the 2026–27 Scottish Premiership title?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Falkirk is No. 5 of 12 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Falkirk play next, and what are their chances?
St Johnstone at Falkirk on 21 November 2026 at Falkirk Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Falkirk 60%, a draw 24%.