8 Nov 2026 · Tynecastle Park
Falkirk at Heart of Midlothian
Falkirk 5 – 2 Hearts · Falkirk won. We had Heart of Midlothian at 64.0%, a draw at 21.6% and Falkirk at 14.4%.
Ratings before the game: Hearts 1690, Falkirk 1535, plus 50 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 9°C, wind 3 km/h (gusts 9).
The betting market (closing odds) had Hearts at 59.2%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 64.0% | 21.6% | 14.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 59.3% | 22.2% | 18.5% |
| Polymarket | 60.2% | 22.4% | 17.4% |
| Kalshi | 60.4% | 22.3% | 17.3% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Falkirk LWWWW, Heart of Midlothian DWLWD.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | Heart of Midlothian at Falkirk | 1–2 | 17% |
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2027 | Heart of Midlothian at Falkirk | 43% | 29% | 28% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Falkirk at Heart of Midlothian?
Falkirk won 5–2 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Falkirk 14%.