28 Feb 2026 · FMG Stadium Waikato
Crusaders at Chiefs
Crusaders 43 – 33 Chiefs · Crusaders won. We had Chiefs at 75.0%, a draw at 2.5% and Crusaders at 22.5%.
Ratings before the game: Chiefs 1726, Crusaders 1608, plus 85 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 20°C, wind 9 km/h (gusts 16).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Chiefs | Draw | Crusaders |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 75.0% | 2.5% | 22.5% |
| Bookmakers (1 book) | 70.5% | 3.0% | 26.4% |
| Polymarket | 77.0% | 3.0% | 20.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Crusaders LL, Chiefs WW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | Chiefs at Crusaders | 32–36 | 44% |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Crusaders at Chiefs | 12–49 | 66% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Crusaders at Chiefs?
Crusaders won 43–33 on 28 February 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Crusaders 22%.