22 May 2026 · One NZ Stadium
Chiefs at Crusaders
Chiefs 32 – 36 Crusaders · Crusaders won. We had Crusaders at 44.5%, a draw at 3.4% and Chiefs at 52.1%.
Ratings before the game: Crusaders 1633, Chiefs 1745, plus 85 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 11°C, wind 10 km/h (gusts 23).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Crusaders | Draw | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 44.5% | 3.4% | 52.1% |
| Polymarket | 51.6% | 5.8% | 42.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Chiefs WWWWW, Crusaders LLWLW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Crusaders at Chiefs | 43–33 | 22% |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Crusaders at Chiefs | 12–49 | 66% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Chiefs at Crusaders?
Crusaders won 36–32 on 22 May 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Crusaders 44%.