12 Jun 2026 · FMG Stadium Waikato
Crusaders at Chiefs
Crusaders 12 – 49 Chiefs · Chiefs won. We had Chiefs at 66.1%, a draw at 0.0% and Crusaders at 33.9%.
Ratings before the game: Chiefs 1749, Crusaders 1718, plus 85 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 9°C, wind 5 km/h (gusts 9).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Chiefs | Draw | Crusaders |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 66.1% | 0.0% | 33.9% |
| Bookmakers (1 book) | 61.2% | 0.0% | 38.8% |
| Polymarket | 48.6% | 17.3% | 34.1% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Crusaders LWWWW, Chiefs WWLWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Crusaders at Chiefs | 43–33 | 22% |
| 22 May 2026 | Chiefs at Crusaders | 32–36 | 44% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Crusaders at Chiefs?
Chiefs won 49–12 on 12 June 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Chiefs 66%.