4 Nov 2026 · OPAP Arena
Real Madrid at AEK Athens
Real Madrid 3 – 2 AEK Athens · Real Madrid won. We had AEK Athens at 11.9%, a draw at 13.4% and Real Madrid at 74.7%.
Ratings before the game: AEK Athens 1757, Real Madrid 2075, plus 50 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 15°C, wind 5 km/h (gusts 12).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | AEK Athens | Draw | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 11.9% | 13.4% | 74.7% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 7.7% | 11.8% | 80.5% |
| Polymarket | 8.4% | 10.3% | 81.3% |
| Kalshi | 7.8% | 10.8% | 81.4% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Real Madrid WWW, AEK Athens WLL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Real Madrid at AEK Athens?
Real Madrid won 3–2 on 4 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Real Madrid 75%.