Champions League
Real Madrid
Rated 2091 (No. 5 of 36), 4–0 this season, 11% to win the Champions League.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 98%
- Top eight
- 100%
- Reach knockouts
- 99%
- Round of 16
- 69%
- Quarter-finals
- 42%
- Semi-finals
- 22%
- Final
- 11%
- Win
- 20.7
- Projected points
Rating
Real Madrid is rated 2091, No. 5 of 36. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov 2026 | PSV Eindhoven at Real Madrid | 9% | 11% | 80% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | Real Madrid at AEK Athens | 3–2 | 75% |
Questions and answers
What is Real Madrid's chance of winning the 2026–27 Champions League?
11%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Real Madrid is No. 5 of 36 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Real Madrid play next, and what are their chances?
PSV Eindhoven at Real Madrid on 24 November 2026 at Santiago Bernabéu. PodiumOracle's model gives Real Madrid 80%, a draw 11%.