Round 2 · 22 Mar 2026 · Adelaide Oval
Essendon at Port Adelaide
Essendon 70 – 133 Port Adelaide · Port Adelaide won. We had Port Adelaide at 67.0%, a draw at 1.5% and Essendon at 31.5%.
Ratings before the game: Port Adelaide 1422, Essendon 1348, plus 55 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 26°C, wind 8 km/h (gusts 25).
The betting market (no-vig line) had Port Adelaide at 70.8%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Port Adelaide | Draw | Essendon |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 67.0% | 1.5% | 31.5% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 71.5% | 0.0% | 28.5% |
| Kalshi | 70.0% | 0.0% | 30.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Essendon L, Port Adelaide L.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | Port Adelaide at Essendon | 104–95 | 64% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Essendon at Port Adelaide?
Port Adelaide won 133–70 on 22 March 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Port Adelaide 67%.