Round 7 · 26 Apr 2026 · Gabba
Adelaide at Brisbane Lions
Adelaide 75 – 127 Brisbane Lions · Brisbane Lions won. We had Brisbane Lions at 66.1%, a draw at 1.5% and Adelaide at 32.4%.
Ratings before the game: Brisbane Lions 1651, Adelaide 1584, plus 55 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 22°C, wind 10 km/h (gusts 33).
The betting market (no-vig line) had Brisbane Lions at 72.9%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Brisbane Lions | Draw | Adelaide |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 66.1% | 1.5% | 32.4% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 73.3% | 0.0% | 26.7% |
| Kalshi | 77.5% | 0.0% | 22.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Adelaide LLLWW, Brisbane Lions LWWWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Adelaide at Brisbane Lions | 91–144 | 64% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Adelaide at Brisbane Lions?
Brisbane Lions won 127–75 on 26 April 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Brisbane Lions 66%.