12 Sep 2026 · Gabba
Adelaide at Brisbane Lions
Adelaide 91 – 144 Brisbane Lions · Brisbane Lions won. We had Brisbane Lions at 63.6%, a draw at 0.0% and Adelaide at 36.4%.
Ratings before the game: Brisbane Lions 1673, Adelaide 1631, plus 55 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 16°C, wind 6 km/h (gusts 15).
The betting market (no-vig line) had Brisbane Lions at 74.6%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Brisbane Lions | Draw | Adelaide |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 63.6% | 0.0% | 36.4% |
| Polymarket | 74.0% | 0.0% | 26.0% |
| Kalshi | 73.5% | 0.0% | 26.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Adelaide WWLWW, Brisbane Lions LWWWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | Adelaide at Brisbane Lions | 75–127 | 66% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Adelaide at Brisbane Lions?
Brisbane Lions won 144–91 on 12 September 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Brisbane Lions 64%.