AFL
Brisbane Lions
Rated 1728 (No. 1 of 18), 16–7 this season, 20% to win the premiership.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 95%
- Finals (top ten)
- 89%
- Past the wildcard round
- 63%
- Top four
- 63%
- Preliminary final
- 37%
- Grand final
- 20%
- Premiership
- 62.4
- Projected points
Rating
Brisbane Lions is rated 1728, No. 1 of 18. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle | 96–89 | 52% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Brisbane Lions at Hawthorn | 131–122 | 48% |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Adelaide at Brisbane Lions | 91–144 | 64% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Brisbane Lions at Sydney | 88–141 | 53% |
Questions and answers
What is Brisbane Lions' chance of winning the 2027 premiership?
20%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. Brisbane Lions are No. 1 of 18 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.