AFL
Carlton
Rated 1599 (No. 7 of 18), 12–10–1 this season, 6% to win the premiership.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 78%
- Finals (top ten)
- 64%
- Past the wildcard round
- 29%
- Top four
- 29%
- Preliminary final
- 14%
- Grand final
- 6%
- Premiership
- 53.0
- Projected points
Rating
Carlton is rated 1599, No. 7 of 18. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | Carlton at Geelong | 74–107 | 68% |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Carlton at Melbourne | 74–55 | 47% |
Questions and answers
What is Carlton's chance of winning the 2027 premiership?
6%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. Carlton is No. 7 of 18 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.