3 Sep 2026 · Perth Stadium
Hawthorn at Fremantle
Hawthorn 72 – 40 Fremantle · Hawthorn won. We had Fremantle at 68.1%, a draw at 0.0% and Hawthorn at 31.9%.
Ratings before the game: Fremantle 1695, Hawthorn 1618, plus 55 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 16°C, wind 14 km/h (gusts 28), rain 0.1 mm/h.
The betting market (no-vig line) had Fremantle at 66.9%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Fremantle | Draw | Hawthorn |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 68.1% | 0.0% | 31.9% |
| Polymarket | 67.0% | 0.0% | 33.0% |
| Kalshi | 66.0% | 0.0% | 34.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Hawthorn WWLDW, Fremantle WWLWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2026 | Hawthorn at Fremantle | 73–88 | 53% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Hawthorn at Fremantle?
Hawthorn won 72–40 on 3 September 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Hawthorn 32%.