AFL
Geelong
Rated 1685 (No. 3 of 18), 15–8 this season, 14% to win the premiership.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 89%
- Finals (top ten)
- 80%
- Past the wildcard round
- 49%
- Top four
- 49%
- Preliminary final
- 27%
- Grand final
- 14%
- Premiership
- 58.6
- Projected points
Rating
Geelong is rated 1685, No. 3 of 18. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | Geelong at Fremantle | 106–120 | 51% |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Carlton at Geelong | 74–107 | 68% |
Questions and answers
What is Geelong's chance of winning the 2027 premiership?
14%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. Geelong is No. 3 of 18 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.