Baseball · 2026 season
MLB forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the World Series odds. Favourite right now: Milwaukee Brewers, 24%.
Live and upcoming
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 2–0 | 62% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres | 11–4 | 42% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins | 2–10 | 50% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 12–9 | 53% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox | 1–6 | 68% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 4–8 | 67% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 3–6 | 59% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 0–3 | 50% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 5–6 | 58% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 6–7 | 51% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 7–8 | 54% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 2–0 | 45% |
Chance of winning the World Series
| Team | Make postseason | Win division | Bye | LCS | Pennant | Win World Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers | 100% | 100% | 100% | 62% | 36% | 24% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 100% | 100% | 100% | 62% | 31% | 19% |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 100% | 100% | 100% | 49% | 30% | 13% |
| New York Yankees | 100% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 18% | 9% |
| Boston Red Sox | 100% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 14% | 6% |
| Cleveland Guardians | 100% | 56% | 56% | 41% | 16% | 5% |
| Chicago Cubs | 100% | 0% | 0% | 19% | 9% | 5% |
| Chicago White Sox | 100% | 44% | 44% | 38% | 14% | 5% |
| San Diego Padres | 100% | 0% | 0% | 19% | 9% | 5% |
| Atlanta Braves | 100% | 100% | 0% | 20% | 8% | 4% |