14 Oct 2026 · Tropicana Field
Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays
Guardians 1 – 3 Rays · Tampa Bay Rays won. We had Tampa Bay Rays at 55.6% and Cleveland Guardians at 44.4%.
Ratings before the game: Rays 1544, Guardians 1520, plus 24 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Rays | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 55.1% | 44.9% |
| Polymarket | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Kalshi | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Cleveland Guardians LWWWW, Tampa Bay Rays LWWWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 3–2 | 44% |
| 28 Apr 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 1–0 | 47% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 1–3 | 54% |
| 24 Jul 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 3–11 | 55% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 0–3 | 58% |
| 26 Jul 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 0–1 | 55% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 7–3 | 41% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 2–3 | 50% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 7–3 | 50% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 3–1 | 51% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 3–7 | 57% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays?
Tampa Bay Rays won 3–1 on 14 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Tampa Bay Rays 56%.