15 Oct 2026 · Progressive Field
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
Rays 2 – 3 Guardians · Cleveland Guardians won. We had Cleveland Guardians at 50.1% and Tampa Bay Rays at 49.9%.
Ratings before the game: Guardians 1518, Rays 1546, plus 24 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 17°C, wind 7 km/h (gusts 13).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Guardians | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 54.8% | 45.2% |
| Polymarket | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Kalshi | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Tampa Bay Rays WWWLW, Cleveland Guardians WWWWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 3–2 | 44% |
| 28 Apr 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 1–0 | 47% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 1–3 | 54% |
| 24 Jul 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 3–11 | 55% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 0–3 | 58% |
| 26 Jul 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 0–1 | 55% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 7–3 | 41% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 1–3 | 56% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 7–3 | 50% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 3–1 | 51% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 3–7 | 57% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians?
Cleveland Guardians won 3–2 on 15 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Cleveland Guardians 50%.