Round 8 · 25 Apr 2026 · Sky Stadium
Dolphins at Warriors
Dolphins 18 – 20 Warriors · Warriors won. We had Warriors at 64.6%, a draw at 3.1% and Dolphins at 32.3%.
Ratings before the game: Warriors 1544, Dolphins 1472, plus 45 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Warriors | Draw | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 64.6% | 3.1% | 32.3% |
| Kalshi | 63.3% | 1.4% | 35.4% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Dolphins WWLLL, Warriors WLLWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | Warriors at Dolphins | 24–26 | 58% |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Dolphins at Warriors | 26–16 | 43% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Dolphins at Warriors?
Warriors won 20–18 on 25 April 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Warriors 65%.