Round 17 · 27 Jun 2026 · Suncorp Stadium
Warriors at Dolphins
Warriors 24 – 26 Dolphins · Dolphins won. We had Dolphins at 58.1%, a draw at 3.3% and Warriors at 38.5%.
Ratings before the game: Dolphins 1619, Warriors 1595, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 19°C, wind 8 km/h (gusts 22).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Dolphins | Draw | Warriors |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 58.1% | 3.3% | 38.5% |
| Kalshi | 68.4% | 3.8% | 27.8% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Warriors WWLLW, Dolphins WWWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Dolphins at Warriors | 18–20 | 65% |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Dolphins at Warriors | 26–16 | 43% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Warriors at Dolphins?
Dolphins won 26–24 on 27 June 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Dolphins 58%.