Round 1 · 12 Sep 2026 · Go Media Stadium
Dolphins at Warriors
Dolphins 26 – 16 Warriors · Dolphins won. We had Warriors at 56.9%, a draw at 0.0% and Dolphins at 43.1%.
Ratings before the game: Warriors 1669, Dolphins 1661, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 13°C, wind 18 km/h (gusts 40).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Warriors | Draw | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 56.9% | 0.0% | 43.1% |
| Kalshi | 58.5% | 0.0% | 41.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Dolphins WWWWW, Warriors WWWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Dolphins at Warriors | 18–20 | 65% |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Warriors at Dolphins | 24–26 | 58% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Dolphins at Warriors?
Dolphins won 26–16 on 12 September 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Dolphins 43%.