15 Sep 2026 · Falkirk Stadium
Heart of Midlothian at Falkirk
Hearts 1 – 2 Falkirk · Falkirk won. We had Falkirk at 17.4%, a draw at 24.0% and Heart of Midlothian at 58.7%.
Ratings before the game: Falkirk 1484, Hearts 1699, plus 50 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 13°C, wind 16 km/h (gusts 32).
The betting market (closing odds) had Falkirk at 23.8%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Falkirk | Draw | Hearts |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 17.4% | 24.0% | 58.7% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 24.6% | 25.5% | 49.9% |
| Polymarket | 24.4% | 26.4% | 49.3% |
| Kalshi | 24.5% | 25.5% | 50.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Heart of Midlothian LWWWW, Falkirk LDLLD.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Falkirk at Heart of Midlothian | 5–2 | 14% |
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2027 | Heart of Midlothian at Falkirk | 43% | 29% | 28% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Heart of Midlothian at Falkirk?
Falkirk won 2–1 on 15 September 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Falkirk 17%.