Six Nations
Wales
Rated 1591 (No. 5 of 6), 1–4 this season, <1% to win the Six Nations title.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- <1%
- Win the championship
- 48%
- Wooden spoon
- 5.2
- Projected points
Rating
Wales is rated 1591, No. 5 of 6. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Italy at Wales | 17–31 | 21% |
| 6 Mar 2026 | Wales at Ireland | 17–27 | 99% |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Scotland at Wales | 26–23 | 83% |
| 15 Feb 2026 | France at Wales | 54–12 | 95% |
Questions and answers
What is Wales' chance of winning the 2027 Six Nations title?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. Wales are No. 5 of 6 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.