Round 9 · 7 May 2026 · Perth Stadium
Hawthorn at Fremantle
Hawthorn 73 – 88 Fremantle · Fremantle won. We had Fremantle at 53.4%, a draw at 1.7% and Hawthorn at 44.9%.
Ratings before the game: Fremantle 1643, Hawthorn 1669, plus 55 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 18°C, wind 9 km/h (gusts 19).
The betting market (no-vig line) had Fremantle at 56.3%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Fremantle | Draw | Hawthorn |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 53.4% | 1.7% | 44.9% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 52.5% | 0.0% | 47.4% |
| Kalshi | 55.5% | 0.0% | 44.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Hawthorn WWWWD, Fremantle WWWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | Hawthorn at Fremantle | 72–40 | 32% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Hawthorn at Fremantle?
Fremantle won 88–73 on 7 May 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Fremantle 53%.