Round 16 · 25 Jun 2026 · Gabba
Sydney at Brisbane Lions
Sydney 83 – 126 Brisbane Lions · Brisbane Lions won. We had Brisbane Lions at 49.7%, a draw at 1.7% and Sydney at 48.6%.
Ratings before the game: Brisbane Lions 1613, Sydney 1664, plus 55 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 15°C, wind 8 km/h (gusts 18).
The betting market (no-vig line) had Brisbane Lions at 52.1%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Brisbane Lions | Draw | Sydney |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 49.7% | 1.7% | 48.6% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 50.6% | 0.0% | 49.4% |
| Kalshi | 49.5% | 0.0% | 50.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Sydney WLWWW, Brisbane Lions LLLWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Brisbane Lions at Sydney | 60–104 | 41% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Brisbane Lions at Sydney | 88–141 | 53% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Sydney at Brisbane Lions?
Brisbane Lions won 126–83 on 25 June 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Brisbane Lions 50%.