5 Sep 2026 · S.C.G.
Brisbane Lions at Sydney
Brisbane Lions 88 – 141 Sydney · Sydney won. We had Sydney at 53.5%, a draw at 0.0% and Brisbane Lions at 46.5%.
Ratings before the game: Sydney 1670, Brisbane Lions 1701, plus 55 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 28°C, wind 25 km/h (gusts 69), rain 0.1 mm/h.
The betting market (no-vig line) had Sydney at 25.4%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Sydney | Draw | Brisbane Lions |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 53.5% | 0.0% | 46.5% |
| Polymarket | 24.5% | 0.0% | 75.5% |
| Kalshi | 26.0% | 0.0% | 74.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Brisbane Lions WLWWW, Sydney WWWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Brisbane Lions at Sydney | 60–104 | 41% |
| 25 Jun 2026 | Sydney at Brisbane Lions | 83–126 | 50% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Brisbane Lions at Sydney?
Sydney won 141–88 on 5 September 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Sydney 53%.