28 Apr 2026 · Progressive Field
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
Rays 1 – 0 Guardians · Tampa Bay Rays won. We had Cleveland Guardians at 53.5% and Tampa Bay Rays at 46.5%.
Ratings before the game: Guardians 1509, Rays 1504, plus 24 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 12°C, wind 14 km/h (gusts 20).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Guardians | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 54.3% | 45.7% |
| Polymarket | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Kalshi | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Tampa Bay Rays WWWWW, Cleveland Guardians LWLLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 3–2 | 44% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 1–3 | 54% |
| 24 Jul 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 3–11 | 55% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 0–3 | 58% |
| 26 Jul 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 0–1 | 55% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 7–3 | 41% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 1–3 | 56% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 2–3 | 50% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 7–3 | 50% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 3–1 | 51% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 3–7 | 57% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians?
Tampa Bay Rays won 1–0 on 28 April 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Tampa Bay Rays 47%.