29 Apr 2026 · Progressive Field
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
Rays 1 – 3 Guardians · Cleveland Guardians won. We had Cleveland Guardians at 54.1% and Tampa Bay Rays at 45.9%.
Ratings before the game: Guardians 1508, Rays 1505, plus 24 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 10°C, wind 17 km/h (gusts 21), rain 0.4 mm/h.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Guardians | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| Polymarket | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Kalshi | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Tampa Bay Rays WWWWW, Cleveland Guardians WLLLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 3–2 | 44% |
| 28 Apr 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 1–0 | 47% |
| 24 Jul 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 3–11 | 55% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 0–3 | 58% |
| 26 Jul 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 0–1 | 55% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 7–3 | 41% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 1–3 | 56% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 2–3 | 50% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 7–3 | 50% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians | 3–1 | 51% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays | 3–7 | 57% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians?
Cleveland Guardians won 3–1 on 29 April 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Cleveland Guardians 54%.