Event 12 · 21 Nov 2026 · Dubai
Emirates Dubai Sail Grand Prix
Each team's chance from 20,000 simulations of the event, using ratings fit only on earlier results. In the championship, Bonds Flying Roos is 45% to win the title.
The field
| Team | Win | Podium |
|---|---|---|
| Bonds Flying Roos | 31% | 70% |
| Artemis | 14% | 40% |
| Emirates GBR | 12% | 40% |
| Rockwool Racing | 9% | 28% |
| Los Gallos | 8% | 30% |
| Black Foils | 8% | 26% |
| DS Automobiles France | 5% | 17% |
| Northstar | 4% | 15% |
| Red Bull Italy | 3% | 10% |
| U.S. SailGP Team | 3% | 11% |
| Explora Journeys Swiss | 2% | 10% |
| Germany by Deutsche Bank | 1% | 4% |
| Mubadala Brazil | <1% | <1% |
Chance of winning the championship
| Team | Points | Projected | Title chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bonds Flying Roos | 94 | 111 | 45% |
| Artemis | 59 | 72 | 27% |
| Los Gallos | 78 | 88 | 24% |
| Emirates GBR | 53 | 65 | 3% |
| U.S. SailGP Team | 56 | 62 | 1% |
| Northstar | 44 | 51 | <1% |
| Rockwool Racing | 40 | 52 | 0% |
| DS Automobiles France | 41 | 50 | 0% |
| Explora Journeys Swiss | 39 | 44 | 0% |
| Germany by Deutsche Bank | 35 | 38 | 0% |
Calendar
- Oracle Perth Sail Grand Prix 17 Jan 2026, won by Emirates GBR
- ITM New Zealand Sail Grand Prix 14 Feb 2026, won by Bonds Flying Roos
- KPMG Sydney Sail Grand Prix 28 Feb 2026, won by U.S. SailGP Team
- ENEL Rio Sail Grand Prix 11 Apr 2026, won by Bonds Flying Roos
- Apex Group Bermuda Sail Grand Prix 9 May 2026, won by Bonds Flying Roos
- Mubadala New York Sail Grand Prix 30 May 2026, won by Bonds Flying Roos
- Canada Sail Grand Prix 20 Jun 2026, won by Los Gallos
- Emirates Great Britain Sail Grand Prix 25 Jul 2026, won by Los Gallos
- ROCKWOOL Germany Sail Grand Prix 22 Aug 2026, won by Bonds Flying Roos
- Spain Sail Grand Prix 5 Sep 2026, won by U.S. SailGP Team
- Rolex Switzerland Sail Grand Prix 19 Sep 2026, won by Los Gallos
- Emirates Dubai Sail Grand Prix 21 Nov 2026
- Mubadala Abu Dhabi Sail Grand Prix 2026 Season Grand Final 28 Nov 2026
Questions and answers
Who will win the Emirates Dubai Sail Grand Prix?
Bonds Flying Roos is the favourite at 31%, ahead of Artemis (14%), Emirates GBR (12%) and Rockwool Racing (9%), from 20,000 simulations of the event with PodiumOracle's ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who is favoured to win the 2026 championship?
Bonds Flying Roos, at 45%, ahead of Artemis (27%) and Los Gallos (24%), from 20,000 simulations of the remaining events with the real points system, updated 12 November 2026.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's SailGP predictions?
On 11 events from held-back seasons (2026), which the model never saw while it was tuned, its favourite won 27% of the time in fields of about 13, and it gave the eventual winner 20% on average. Its log loss was 2.200, against 2.565 for treating every team as equal.