Round 15 · 18 Jun 2026 · Perth Stadium
Geelong at Fremantle
Geelong 90 – 99 Fremantle · Fremantle won. We had Fremantle at 61.4%, a draw at 1.6% and Geelong at 37.0%.
Ratings before the game: Fremantle 1714, Geelong 1683, plus 55 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 11°C, wind 3 km/h (gusts 7).
The betting market (no-vig line) had Fremantle at 72.4%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Fremantle | Draw | Geelong |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 61.4% | 1.6% | 37.0% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 70.0% | 0.0% | 30.0% |
| Kalshi | 73.5% | 0.0% | 26.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Geelong WWLLW, Fremantle WWWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Fremantle at Geelong | 100–110 | 60% |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Geelong at Fremantle | 106–120 | 51% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Geelong at Fremantle?
Fremantle won 99–90 on 18 June 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Fremantle 61%.